Keywords: Census Bureau, immigration, cultural diversity statistics, Blacks, Latinos, Asians, 2050 work force, immigration, birth rates
In 2050, what will the U.S. population look like? According to new data from the Census Bureau, 30 percent of it will be Latino, 15 percent will be Black and 9 percent will be Asian.
The new calculations shatter predictions from four years ago that estimated the population of Americans self-identifying as Black, Latino, Asian, American Indian, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander would top non-Latino whites in 2050. Demographers are now saying that could happen as much as eight years sooner.
"No other country has experienced such rapid racial and ethnic change," Mark Mather, a demographer with Washington, D.C.-based research organization Population Reference Bureau, told The New York Times.
For the first time, both the number and the proportion of non-Latino whites, who currently account for 66 percent of the population, will start to decline, accounting for 46 percent by 2050.
"A momentum is built into this as a result of past immigration," Jeffrey S. Passel, senior demographer at the Pew Hispanic Center, told the Times. "In the 1970s, '80s and '90s, there were more Hispanic immigrants than births. This decade, there are more births than immigrants. Almost regardless of what you assume about future immigration, the country will be more Hispanic and Asian."
This isn't the first time demographers underestimated population numbers. Ten years ago, census demographers predicted the nation's population would not top 400 million until sometime after the middle of the century. Now, demographers say the U.S. population, which surpassed 300 million in 2006, will hit 400 million in 2039 and grow another 10 million by 2050.
According to The Washington Post, white non-Latinos make up about two-thirds of the population, but only 55 percent of those are younger than 5 years old.
"What's happening now in terms of increasing diversity probably is unprecedented," Campbell Gibson, a retired census demographer, told the Times.
Click here to read more from The Washington Post.
Readers' Comments
It is critical that employers and businesses that want to maintain and grow market positions fully understand the growing Hispanic and Asian populations, and provide the product education and services these consumers will need.
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